Италия в перспективе

[borislvin]

We estimated excess deaths of 7,027, 20,259, 15,801 and 24,981 attributable to influenza epidemics in the 2013/14, 2014/15, 2015/16 and 2016/17, respectively, using the Goldstein index. The average annual mortality excess rate per 100,000 ranged from 11.6 to 41.2 with most of the influenzaassociated deaths per year registered among the elderly.

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During the study period, an average of 5,290,000 (range 4,542,000 - 6,299,000) ILI cases were estimated in Italy, corresponding to a cumulative average incidence of 9% (range 8% - 11%) in the Italian population. The highest estimated incidence was observed in children younger than 5 years (average of 23%, range 21% - 26%) and in adolescents (average of 15%, range 12% - 18%).

https://www.ijidonline.com/article/S1201-9712(19)30328-5/fulltext

Comments

[eugenegp.livejournal.com]

Существеннs не только excess death, но и total flu attributable. Они в два раза больше (табл.3). Я написал в FB. https://www.facebook.com/eugene.peskin/posts/2976363179089247